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Daily Outlook: USD Softens Amid Fed Official's Hint a Pause in Monetary Tightening

By Research Team Tuesday, Jul 11, 2023
GBP/USD

    • 9.00amd1
    • High1.28756
    • Low1.2858
    • Close1.28695

GBP/USD is trading at 1.28662, 0.23% up since previous day close. The Pound strengthened against the USD on Tuesday after Fed officials showed the chances of pause in interest rate hike stance over the period of time. This overshadowed the negative effect of BRC Retail Sales Monitor data which grew by 4.2% lower than expectation 4.6%. Earlier, the hawkish Bank of England (BoE) monetary stance with a rate hike of 50bps made the Pound to trade on higher side. The result of labor data will remain in focus for the day. As seen in the chart, the pair is trading near Fibonacci Extension level of 61.8 which acts as a major resistance level. Buying on corrective dips may be recommended for the day.

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Daily Outlook

GBP/USD

Intra Day
Near Day

Technical Levels

R3 1.28997
R2 1.28834
R1 1.28763
Turnaround 1.28671
S1 1.28600
S2 1.28508
S3 1.28345
By Research Team Tuesday, Jul 11, 2023
GER30

    • 9.17amd1
    • High15827
    • Low15798
    • Close15821

GER30 is trading at 15814.3, 0.16% up since previous close. The European markets turned on higher side after Fed official Barr hinted for a pause in monetary policy tightening very soon in his speech on Monday. However, the focus will be on U.S CPI data release event which is to be held on Wednesday.  Last week, escalating trade-tension between U.S & China after China imposed curbs on exports of chipmaking materials to U.S made the indices to trade on lower side. The result of German ZEW Economic Sentiment data will remain in to focus for the day. As seen in the chart, although the GRE30 has crossed down the major MA (100); yet is may take support of previous lows & hence, slight buying bias may be established for the day if upside prevails further.

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Daily Outlook

GER30

Intra Day
Near Day

Technical Levels

R3 16116.00000
R2 15936.00000
R1 15864.00000
Turnaround 15756.00000
S1 15684.00000
S2 15576.00000
S3 15396.00000
By Research Team Tuesday, Jul 11, 2023
Gold

    • 9.38amd1
    • High1927.99
    • Low1924.44
    • Close1926.82

Gold is trading at $1926.33, 0.14% up since previous close. The flat to higher side momentum can be seen in gold prices since last two sessions amid soft USD after Fed official hinted for the chances of a pause in rate hike stance. Also, the soft U.S Non-farm Payroll figures limited the chances of aggressive interest rate hike in near future & hence, cushioned the precious metals. The China released weak inflation figures which made the gold range bound; for China is a major consumer of metals. The market will be looking forward to U.S CPI data release event this week.  Wait & watch strategy may be build-up for the day in Gold since the possibility of either side breakout can be expected on short-term basis.

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Daily Outlook

Gold

Intra Day
Near Day

Technical Levels

R3 1949.93000
R2 1935.66000
R1 1930.12000
Turnaround 1921.39000
S1 1915.85000
S2 1907.12000
S3 1892.85000
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