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RBNZ Left Interest Rate Unchanged, U.S Bond Yields at 16-Years Highs & Commodities Trade Sideways

By Research Team Wednesday, Oct 4, 2023
NZD/USD

    • 10.05amd1
    • High0.59215
    • Low0.58709
    • Close0.58986

NZD/USD is trading at 0.58922, 0.16% down since previous day close. The downward momentum can be seen in Kiwi after RBNZ left interest rate steady at 5.50% as expected. On global front, the strong USD as traders remain cautious over Fed’s chances of hiking an interest rate one more time by end of this year turned out to be suppressive for other currencies. Also, the slowdown in Chinese industrial sector makes the NZD/USD weaker since China & New Zealand are the trading partners. The result of ANZ Commodity Prices data will remain into focus for the day. As seen in the chart, the pair seems to be sliding down to lower trend-line of channel pattern which indicates a make-or-break situation on daily basis. Slight selling bias may be recommended for the day in NZD/USD.

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Daily Outlook

NZD/USD

Intra Day
Near Day

Technical Levels

R3 0.60193
R2 0.59664
R1 0.59396
Turnaround 0.59135
S1 0.58867
S2 0.58606
S3 0.58077
By Research Team Wednesday, Oct 4, 2023
FRA40

    • 10.22amd1
    • High7091
    • Low7000
    • Close7013

FRA40 is trading at 7013.3, 0.21% down since previous close. The European shares seems to be trading on lower side & so, FRA40 is expected to open on negative note on Wednesday mid soft global cues. The strong USD & rising U.S bond yields on an account of growing fear over U.S hawkish monetary stance wherein a rate hike is expected by end of this year.  Besides this, the chances of U.S government shutdown remains crucial for global markets. On data front, the French Final Manufacturing PMI rose to 44.2 from 43.6 in the prior month while the focus will be on Final Services PMI data due today. As seen in the chart, the index is trading near previous lows which acts as a major support level & hence, slight selling bias may be recommended for the day.

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Daily Outlook

FRA40

Intra Day
Near Day

Technical Levels

R3 7216.00000
R2 7125.00000
R1 7065.00000
Turnaround 7034.00000
S1 6978.00000
S2 6943.00000
S3 6852.00000
By Research Team Wednesday, Oct 4, 2023
OIL

    • 10.40amw1
    • High89.57
    • Low88.98
    • Close89.2

WTI Oil is trading at $89.22, 0.02% down since previous day close. The mixed trading can be seen in Oil prices in early trade on Wednesday as U.S American Petroleum Institute (API) report showed a fall in Oil stocks level by 4.21 mbpd against the expected fall of 0.092 mbpd. On contrary, the chances of one more interest rate hike be end if this year as hinted by Fed Chair Powell weigh down the Oil prices. Besides this, the concern over lower supplies from major oil producing countries like Russia & Saudi Arabia remains supportive for Oil prices. Th result of U.S EIA report will be eyed today. As seen in the chart, the commodity is still trading major resistance & hence, slight sideways trading may be suggested further.

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Daily Outlook

OIL

Intra Day
Near Day

Technical Levels

R3 0.60193
R2 0.59664
R1 0.59396
Turnaround 0.59135
S1 0.58867
S2 0.58606x
S3 0.58077
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