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U.S Powell Hinted Mixed Views Over Monetary Policy Decision While Oil Prices Surges Up

By Research Team Friday, Oct 20, 2023
AUD/USD

    • 9.32amd1
    • High0.63246
    • Low0.63051
    • Close0.63142

AUD/USD is trading at 0.63191, 0.09% down since previous day close. The Aussie seems to be trading downside amid multilobe global cues. The steady USD, rising U.S bond yields, escalating geo-political tension between Hamas & Israel & surging Oil prices. The suspicious chances of interest rate hike in Fed’s near-term monetary policy meeting made the other currencies slightly bearish. On data front, the Australia’s Employment Change figure grew by just 6.7K lower than expectation 20.6K while the Unemployment Rate fell to 3.6% from 3.7% in the previous reading. As seen in the chart, the pair is trading near lower trend-line of channel pattern & hence, either side breakout may be recommended for the day.

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Daily Outlook

AUD/USD

Intra Day
Near Day

Technical Levels

R3 0.64469
R2 0.63862
R1 0.63551
Turnaround 0.63255
S1 0.62944
S2 0.62648
S3 0.62041
By Research Team Friday, Oct 20, 2023
CHNIND

    • 9.53amd1
    • High5934
    • Low5846
    • Close5903

CHNIND is trading at 5901.3, 0.02% up since previous close. The mixed trading can be seen in Chinese shares after PBoC left short term & long-term interest rate unchanged at 3.45% & 4.20% respectively. This outweighed the negative effect on equity markets emerging out of global cues. The surging Oil prices, rising geo-political tension between Middle East regions & higher U.S bond yields contributed in weakness in market sentiments. Earlier in this week, the Chinese Industrial Production grew by 4.5% above expectation 4.4% & the GDP rate increased by 4.9% against expected rise of 4.5%. As seen in the chart, the index is hovering lower trend-line of channel pattern which indicates a reversal if sustained or a strong breakdown if breached.

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Daily Outlook

CHNIND

Intra Day
Near Day

Technical Levels

R3 96.19000
R2 92.12000
R1 90.65000
Turnaround 88.05000
S1 86.58000
S2 83.98000
S3 79.91000
By Research Team Friday, Oct 20, 2023
OIL

    • 10.08amd1
    • High89.59
    • Low89
    • Close89.31

WTI Oil is trading at $89.29, 0.27% up since previous day close. An upward momentum can be seen in Oil prices after US President Joe Biden unveils the plan to refill Oil SPR levels beginning from the month of December this year. Also, the escalating tension between Hamas & Israel remains bullish for Oil prices since this may affect the Oil supplies. The U.S EIA report showed a drop-down in Oil inventory levels by 4.5 mbpd against the expected fall of 0.5 mbpd. This further cushioned the prices. The result of U.S Bake Hughes report will remain into focus for the day. As seen in the chart, the Oil is crossed over Fibo level 23.6 which indicates a buying pressure on daily basis.

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Daily Outlook

OIL

Intra Day
Near Day

Technical Levels

R3 96.19000
R2 92.12000
R1 90.65000
Turnaround 88.05000
S1 86.58000
S2 83.98000
S3 79.91000
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