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Traders Eyes U.S PCE Inflation Data While Oil & Gold Prices Retreated Down

By Research Team Friday, Sep 29, 2023
EUR/USD

    • 12.30pmd1
    • High1.06102
    • Low1.0558
    • Close1.0608

EUR/USD is trading at 1.05935, 0.11% up since previous day close. An upside can be seen in EUR/USD after sliding down to lower levels earlier in this week. The traders remain cautious over Fed’s hawkish future monetary decision as U.S Fed Powell hinted for one more rate hike in this year; although keeping an interest rate steady at 5.50% in its recent meeting. On data front, the Euro-zone Money Supply fell by 1.3% against the previous figure -0.4% the Private Loans grew by just 1.0% against the expectation 1.2%. The focus will be on ECB Chair Lagarde speech due today. As seen in the chart, the pair is firmly trading below the major Moving Averages while it is still hovering near previous lows in weekly chart which indicates an either side breakout on short to medium term basis.

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Daily Outlook

EUR/USD

Intra Day
Near Day

Technical Levels

R3 1.07200
R2 1.06320
R1 1.05971
Turnaround 1.05440
S1 1.05091
S2 1.04560
S3 1.03680
By Research Team Friday, Sep 29, 2023
GER30

    • 12.46pmd1
    • High15572
    • Low15420
    • Close15534

GER30 is trading at 15553.3, 0.07% up since previous close. The mild recovery can be seen in European markets ahead of the result of U.S inflation data due to be issued today. On global front, the growing fear over U.S hawkish monetary stance & worsening situation in property market in China subdued the markets earlier. Besides this, the chances of U.S government shutdown remains crucial for GER30 & other global markets. The German GFK Consumer Climate fell by 26.5 from 25.6 in the previous month while the Prelim CPI rate remained steady at          0.3% same as expectation. As seen in the chart, the index corrected down till Fibo level 50.0 which indicates a reversal momentum if sustained or a breakdown if breached.

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Daily Outlook

GER30

Intra Day
Near Day

Technical Levels

R3 15878.00000
R2 15644.00000
R1 15556.00000
Turnaround 15410.00000
S1 15322.00000
S2 15176.00000
S3 14942.00000
By Research Team Friday, Sep 29, 2023
GOLD

    • 1.08pmd1
    • High1873.6
    • Low1862.94
    • Close1873.55

Gold is trading at $1871.44, 0.02% down since previous close. The flat to lower side trading can be seen in gold prices since last two sessions amid strong USD & rising U.S bond yields as U.S Fed hinted for one mor rate hike in this year & two more hikes in the year 2024 in order to control the sticky inflation rate dragged down the precious metals. The fear looms over chances of U.S government shutdown which may remain vital for gold. Also, the worsening situation can be seen in Chinese property markets & hence, can affect consumption demand of gold since China is a major consumer of metals. As seen in the chart, the gold is trading near lower trend-line of channel pattern & hence, the cautious trading may be expected.

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Daily Outlook

GOLD

Intra Day
Near Day

Technical Levels

R3 1904.80000
R2 1888.13000
R1 1879.99000
Turnaround 1871.46000
S1 1863.82000
S2 1854.79000
S3 1838.12000
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