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RBNZ Surprisingly Hikes Interest Rate by 50bps While Oil Prices Tests One-Month Highs

By Research Team Wednesday, Apr 5, 2023
NZD/USD

    • 9.40amd1
    • High0.63795
    • Low0.63027
    • Close0.63492

NZD/USD is trading at 0.63469, 0.29% up since previous day close. The New Zealand Kiwi showed a sharp rally in early trade on Wednesday after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) surprisingly hiked interest rate by 50bps higher than expected hike of 25bps; leading to 14-month highs of 5.25% from 4.75% earlier. The move has been taken in order to tame down rising inflation rate. Besides this, the positive global sentiments amid recovery in U.S banking crisis led buying bias in major currencies. The result of ANZ Commodity Prices will remain into focus for the day. As seen in chart, the pair showed a strong breakout above the MA (100) & also, crossed over Fibo level 23.6 which shows the chances of buying bias on lower levels.

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Daily Outlook

NZD/USD

Intra Day
Near Day

Technical Levels

R3 0.63881
R2 0.63452
R1 0.63306
Turnaround 0.63026
S1 0.62827
S2 0.62594
S3 0.62165
By Research Team Wednesday, Apr 5, 2023
AUS200

    • 10.00amd1
    • High7281
    • Low7245
    • Close7250

AUS200 is trading at 7252.3, 0.03% up since previous close. The Asian shares moved higher following an upside in global markets amid global as well regional cues. On global front, the Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) is said to be taken over by First Citizen Bank which improved the ruction situation in banking crisis; emerging bullishness in indices. Regionally, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) maintained its monetary policy & kept its interest rate unchanged at 3.60% same as previous reading. This signals for improvement in inflationary pressure in an economy. As seen in the chart, the INDIA50 is trading above the MA (100) which clearly indicates the chances of buying bias on daily basis. A strong breakout can be expected further if breaches the MA (200).

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Daily Outlook

AUS200

Intra Day
Near Day

Technical Levels

R3 7374.00000
R2 7316.00000
R1 7283.00000
Turnaround 7258.00000
S1 7225.00000
S2 7200.00000
S3 7142.00000
By Research Team Wednesday, Apr 5, 2023
OIL

    • 10.25amd1
    • High81.19
    • Low80.88
    • Close81.01

WTI Oil is trading at $81.02, 0.36% up since previous day close. The Oil prices rallied above $80 level; surpassing one-month highs, after OPEC+ decided to reduce down its oil output & supplies levels in its latest meeting. On Tuesday, the American Petroleum Institute (API) released its Oil stocks level by 4.36 mbpd against the expected fall of 1.80 mbpd which again pushed up the prices. The focus will be on U.S EIA report which will be issued today; focusing on the changes in Oil inventory level as compared to last week.  The soft USD makes dollar denominated commodity like Crude Oil more expensive. As seen in the chart, the Oil is hovering near MA (200) which indicates make-or-break situation on short term basis.

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Daily Outlook

OIL

Intra Day
Near Day

Technical Levels

R3 85.17000
R2 82.97000
R1 81.94000
Turnaround 80.77000
S1 79.74000
S2 78.57000
S3 76.37000
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