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Mixed Chinese PMI figures, Indices Turns into Green While Steady Gold Prices

By Research Team Friday, Jun 30, 2023
USD/JPY

    • 10.25amd1
    • High145.065
    • Low144.622
    • Close144.662

USD/JPY is trading at 144.712, 0.34% down since previous day close. The YEN consistently trades weaker against the USD amid hawkish Fed & other major Central Bank’s monetary stance in future course of time. Also, the BoJ’s move of leaving interest rate steady at -0.10% made the YEN weaker. In Japan, the Prelim Industrial Production fell by 1.6% weaker than expectation -0.9% while the Housing Starts grew by 3.5% from -11.9% in the previous month. The weak Chinese PMI figures further dragged down the USD/JPY since Japan & China are the trading partners. As seen in the chart, the pair is firmly trading above the short-term MA (10) & MA (20); indicating more selling bias in YEN against the USD.

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Daily Outlook

USD/JPY

Intra Day
Near Day

Technical Levels

R3 146.13900
R2 145.37300
R1 145.08300
Turnaround 144.60700
S1 144.31700
S2 143.84100
S3 143.07500
By Research Team Friday, Jun 30, 2023
CHNIND

    • 10.42amd1
    • High6405
    • Low6320
    • Close6385

CHNIND is trading at 6366.3, 0.02% up since previous close. The tight range can be seen in CHNIND post release of mixed PMI figures. The Manufacturing PMI rose to 49.0 from 48.8 in the previous month & the Non-Manufacturing PMI fell to 53.2 from 54.5 previously. This indicates stagnant growth in China’s economic & manufacturing activities. Globally, the hawkish outlook over monetary policy in near future as mentioned by major Central Banks chiefs led the selling bias in CHNIND earlier in this week. Last week, the PBoC cut down its interest rate by 10 bps lower than expectation which subdued the index. As seen in the chart, the CHNIND is trading within the converging trend-lines & hence, either side breakout can be expected on short term basis.

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Daily Outlook

CHNIND

Intra Day
Near Day

Technical Levels

R3 6658.00000
R2 6508.00000
R1 6414.00000
Turnaround 6358.00000
S1 6264.00000
S2 6208.00000
S3 6058.00000
By Research Team Friday, Jun 30, 2023
OIL

    • 11.04amd1
    • High70.06
    • Low69.56
    • Close69.93

WTI Oil is trading at $69.88, 0.22% up since previous day close. An upward momentum continued to be seen in Oil prices as China posted mixed PMI figures & hence, affects the Oil consumption demand since China is a major Oil consuming country. On Wednesday, the U.S EIA report showed a massive fall in Oil inventory levels by 9.6 mbpd against the expected fall of 1.4 mbpd which boosted up the prices. The supply disruption from Russia, one of the major Oil producing country amid a clash between Moscow & Russian mercenary group Wagner led a rise in prices. As seen in the chart, the Oil is still trading near the short-term Moving Averages & hence, the mixed trading can be seen for the day.

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Daily Outlook

OIL

Intra Day
Near Day

Technical Levels

R3 73.10000
R2 71.42000
R1 70.57000
Turnaround 69.74000
S1 68.89000
S2 68.06000
S3 66.38000
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